It feels like spring. Blue skies, warm sun, and still. It's one of several days this week where temperatures are expected to get into the 60s.
There are a couple of colder days expected later in the week, but even those are really just seasonally appropriate. Overall, we're still tracking warmer than normal, and long-range forecasts are for that trend to continue through at least most of February.
Here's how we're tracking so far in comparison with recent years.
|December||January||February||March||Peak Bloom Date|
|2018-19||+3.8||+1.2||+3.4 (as of Feb 15)|
ˤ = partial month, in progress
* = up until peak bloom
Based on the warm temperatures we've had so far and the forecasts for more warm weather to come, the odds seem heavily tilted in favor of an early bloom. Of course, any time you're dealing with long-range weather forecasts, it comes with a big asterisk. It's quite possible March ends up being cold and slowing things down. We saw that happen in 2013. But for now, at least, it's by no means a sure thing, but a mid- to late-March bloom is currently looking more likely than a later one.
Want to Help Support DC's Cherry Trees?
If you'd like to help support the care and upkeep of the cherry trees around the Tidal Basin, the Trust for The National Mall has launched an Endow a Cherry Tree Campaign. Donations go to the official Cherry Tree Endowment, which will give the National Park Service additional resources to fund the care, maintenance, and possible replacement of the cherry trees. You can find more information here.
The Trust is dedicated to marshaling private support for maintaining and improving the history National Mall area. I'm not affiliated with the Trust--just an admirer of their efforts.