Peak Bloom Predictions Revised Again

Both the National Park Service and the *Washington Post*'s Capital Weather today revised their peak bloom predictions, pushing them back even further. Both are now predicting April 8 to 12.

Both the National Park Service and the Washington Post‘s Capital Weather today revised their peak bloom predictions, pushing them back even further. Both are now predicting April 8 to 12.

While February was warmer than normal and got the buds off to an early start, it has been cool weather since, and so far in March we’re about 3.5° below average. That has kept things moving at a glacial pace. And after crunching their weather forecast data looking ahead, both the NPS and Post have concluded that it’s just not going to be warm enough in the next couple of weeks to bring most of the trees to full bloom.

As you can see from the photos below, all taken this morning, the trees are at quite a range of stages. While the indicator tree is in full bloom and there’s a small handful of scattered trees that are starting to show some flowers, the vast majority are still in earlier bud stages. So it’s likely to be a rather drawn out blooming process, with some trees blooming well ahead of others.

Here are some examples with photos taken this morning around the Tidal Basin.

These are on one of the old Yoshinos a few trees to the east of the MLK Memorial statue.

You can find more photos from this morning here.

Want to Help Support DC's Cherry Trees?

If you'd like to help support the care and upkeep of the cherry trees around the Tidal Basin, the Trust for The National Mall has launched an Endow a Cherry Tree Campaign. Donations go to the official Cherry Tree Endowment, which will give the National Park Service additional resources to fund the care, maintenance, and possible replacement of the cherry trees. You can find more information here.

The Trust is dedicated to marshaling private support for maintaining and improving the history National Mall area. I'm not affiliated with the Trust--just an admirer of their efforts.

Last updated March 23, 2018 2:06 pm

View Comments

  • Thanks for all these updates!

    Do you know what’s happening with Kwanzan Cherry Blossoms? Are they still on track to bloom 2 weeks after Yoshino or is there a chance they might bloom at the same time?

    • It's still too early to tell. It's unlikely to be at the same time, but how much later varies quite a bit. It can be as little as 4 days and up to a month after. The average is about 15 days.

    • There's a good chance. The magnolias are on the verge of fully blooming now but in the cool weather aren't opening up. The best place for regular updates on them is the Smithsonian Gardens Instagram feed here.

  • As the new prediction, the peak bloom will be April 8-12. Will the peak still be possible to come earlier, such as April 3-5? Tia!

  • How long past the Bloom "cuspid" do the blooms last ? Can they last until the weekend of
    April 21st ? Thanks

    • Probably not. In the right conditions (calm, cool, dry) they can last a week or more after peak bloom. In the wrong conditions (windy, rainy, hot, stormy) they can disappear within 3-5 days. Using photos from past years, I've put together a photo timeline that shows the type of thing you can expect here. But your timing might be good to catch another variety that blooms later. There are fewer of them, but they're particularly pretty. They're the Kwanzan cherries, and I have more on them here.

  • Your updates are very helpful, thank you! Unfortunately, we already made plans to be there during the previously predicted peak period. Do you have any expectation of roughly what percentage of the trees will be in full bloom by March 31?

    • Not sure what percentage, but it will still be a minority. The warmer temperatures expected later this week will help bring more out.

Share
Published by
David

Recent Posts

Cherry Blossom Watch Update / Kwanzan Edition: April 12, 2019

The Kwanzan cherry blossoms are coming into bloom. There are plenty around town that are in full bloom now. The… Read More

Originally posted 2 months ago

Reader Photos 2019 | Part 4

Here are some more of the beautiful photos of 2019’s bloom of the cherry blossoms that were submitted by Cherry… Read More

Originally posted 2 months ago

Cherry Blossom Watch Update: April 10, 2019

The cherry blossoms are mostly done now. You can still find flowers out, but they're fading fast. The good news,… Read More

Originally posted 2 months ago

Reader Photos 2019 | Part 3

Here are some more of the beautiful photos of 2019’s bloom of the cherry blossoms that were submitted by Cherry… Read More

Originally posted 2 months ago

Reader Photos 2019 | Part 2

These are some of the beautiful photos of 2019’s bloom of the cherry blossoms that were submitted by Cherry Blossom… Read More

Originally posted 2 months ago

Reader Photos 2019 | Part 1

These are some of the beautiful photos of 2019's bloom of the cherry blossoms that were submitted by Cherry Blossom… Read More

Originally posted 2 months ago