It's still too early to guess with any confidence when DC's cherry blossoms will bloom in 2020, and no peak bloom forecasts have been issued yet. Stay tuned for the first peak bloom forecasts to be announced around the beginning of March.
The winter so far has been much warmer than normal. January and February have both tracked well above average. If that continues--and that's always a big "if"--it points to an earlier-than-average bloom, more late-March than early-April. But there's still plenty of time for cold weather to arrive and settle in, so it's still too early to predict with confidence.
Welcome to 2018 DC Cherry Blossom Watch!
It’s still too early to tell when the cherry blossoms will reach peak bloom this year, but here’s a quick rundown of where we’re at.
The average date for peak bloom is around the beginning of April, but it can shift up to a couple of weeks before or after that depending on the weather. Warm temperatures coax an early bloom, while cold temperatures delay the process.
After a pretty ordinary start to the winter, we’ve recently emerged from an extended cold spell that took temperatures well below normal. They’ve moderated now–and today reached positively balmy temperatures in the 50s–but as of this morning, January is still tracking at about 6.3° below normal for the month. As you can see from the
But itself, the cold stretch isn’t enough to tell us that the bloom will be early; the trees are in their standard winter dormant state, anyway. So we’ll still need to wait and see how the coming weeks shape up; the temperatures into March are far more important.
Long-range weather forecasts are notoriously unreliable, of course, but as of right now there’s doesn’t seem to be much suggestion of either sustained unseasonably cold or unseasonably hot temperatures in the coming weeks. In other words, as of now, we appear to be tracking roughly around average. Put another way, there’s not much to indicate at the moment that the bloom will be either early or late. Obviously, that could change.
How Does it Look Today?
The shot at the top of the page was taken this morning. The Tidal Basin is covered in ice and the cherry trees are hunkered down for the winter. There’s nothing really to see yet in terms of bud development.
This is another shot from this morning:
2018 Peak Bloom Forecasts
None has been issued yet. The two to watch, by the National Park Service and the Washington Post‘s Capital Weather Gang, are typically issued sometime around the first week of March.
As always, I’ll keep the peak bloom forecasts page updated as we head into the bloom.
What’s New for 2018?
This isn’t going to be a pressing issue for most people right now, but I may as well give a heads up on it. All of the free parking around the Tidal Basin (and much of the National Mall, for that matter) isn’t free anymore. It has been converted to metered parking with time limits ranging from 2 to 3 hours. This applies to all the street parking lining Ohio Drive near the Tidal Basin and the three lots (A, B, C) under the foot of the Fourteenth Street Bridge. I have more detailed information on the parking situation here.
Winter Cherry Blossoms
If you’re desperate for at least some cherry blossoms, you might catch some of a different variety with some scattered flowers. There are quite a few of these trees around the base of the Washington Monument, although their fall/winter bloom is nowhere near as impressive as the spring bloom.
Here’s an example I shot in early December:
I have more about these fall/winter blooming cherry blossoms here.
2018 National Cherry Blossom Festival Dates
The 2018 National Cherry Blossom Festival is scheduled to run from March 20 through April 15. There are a number of events and activities planned for that period, including the Blossom Kite Festival (March 31) and the the National Cherry Blossom Festival Parade (April 14).
You can find more details on the official festival website.
New Graphic for 2018
Finally, a thank you to Joe Brooks for creating the new 2018 graphic on the front page. You can find more of her wonderful work on her website.
Want to Help Support DC's Cherry Trees?
If you'd like to help support the care and upkeep of the cherry trees around the Tidal Basin, the Trust for The National Mall has launched an Endow a Cherry Tree Campaign. Donations go to the official Cherry Tree Endowment, which will give the National Park Service additional resources to fund the care, maintenance, and possible replacement of the cherry trees. You can find more information here.
The Trust is dedicated to marshaling private support for maintaining and improving the history National Mall area. I'm not affiliated with the Trust--just an admirer of their efforts.